#WealthofTweets: Book 4.5
Of Bounties
12 Feb • 20 tweets • adamsmithworks/status/1360251592423964677
We're back with more thoughts of # AdamSmith about the tools of mercantilism. Today: Bounties! (IV.v.) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Today we'd call bounties subsidies, which makes it much harder to use a Boba Fett gif. So we're sticking with bounties. (IV.v.a.1) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Everyone admits, says Smith, that bounties shouldn't be given to industries or endeavors that could happen without them. But that means you're only going to give them to endeavors that can't pay for themselves. (IV.v.a.2) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
If you pay people to carry on doing things that don't pay for themselves, capital ends up being consumed by the things that they're doing. They get poorer. That's bad. (IV.v.a.2) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
People worry about being the "loser" in international trade, but trade that's paid for by bounties is the only kind of trade that can go on for any length of time while either side loses. (IV.v.a.3) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Because the mercantile system worries about the balance of trade and not the balance of production/consumption, its "expedients" force trade into less productive areas. (IV.v.a.3) # WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
We have a feeling that when Smith repeatedly refers to "the ingenious and well- informed author" that he spends a little time debunking here, he's not being altogether sincere. #SmithSnark (IV.v.a.4&8) #WealthOfTweets
Of course bounties on corn exports increase the price of corn in the home market. The point of bounties on corn exports is to increase the price of corn in the home market. But people are surprised. (IV.v.a.6–7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Corn bounties make corn (by this, Smith really means food) more expensive so the poor can't feed themselves, and bounties make hiring the poor more expensive so resources are idle. This puts a cap on population and growth. That's bad. (IV.v.a.8) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
But surely, if the price of corn is higher there will be more corn farmers and that will mean more corn! Nah, says Smith. For him, the money price of corn regulates all other prices. Messing with it messes up everything. (IV.v.a.10–15) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Smith digresses, YET AGAIN, on silver. (IV.v.a.16–21) #WealthOfTweets # SmithTweets
This part is going to make your head hurt a little if you are familiar with price theory. There's a reason the #LaborTheoryOfValue is defunct. For Smith, corn is super special and sets the price of everything. For us, that is unhelpful. (IV.v.a.21–23) #WealthOfTweets
Smith still thinks country gentlemen are hapless. (IV.v.a.24) # WealthOfTweets # SmithTweets
Bounties for exporting goods that aren't corn are more successful if the goal is increasing production. So why not just pay a bounty for increased production? Smith thinks it would make more sense. (IV.v.a.24–25) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Like, he's not in favor of bounties on production. He just thinks if you're going to channel industry into unproductive channels, you could at least do it with only one tax. (IV.v.a.24) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Unfortunately, the mercantile system says that wealth comes from exports, not production. So bounties are on exports.Plus, merchants wouldn't want to flood markets with their goods and drive prices down. Better to export. (IV.v.a.24) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
OK we don't entirely get it but Smith is really preoccupied with herring. It's going to come back around later. (IV.v.a.29–35) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Are bounties ever a good idea? National security is a reasonable public expense, so you might be able to support it by encouraging production of things like gunpowder or sailcloth in case you need to wage war with France or something. (IV.v.a.36) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Unfortunately, lots of countries are so wealthy they'll pay for all sorts of unjustified bounties because of public prejudice that supports the mercantile system.Alas. (IV.v.a.37) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Smith is VERY concerned that we may not have paid enough attention to his thoughts on corn, so he'll be digressing on the subject tomorrow. See you then!#WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
• • •
# AdamSmith, #WealthOfNations, and #CornLaws! What more could you possibly want on a Saturday morning? (IV.v.b) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Yes, it’s the Digression Concerning the Corn Trade and Corn Laws! We can barely contain ourselves long enough to remind you that “corn” doesn’t mean 🌽 It means the principal cereal crop of a nation. (We keep saying so because we keep forgetting.) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
#TLDR on # AdamSmith’s thoughts on the Corn Laws: They’re bad. (IV.v.b.1) # WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Corn merchants can be broken down into four groups. Smith loves to break things down into groups.
1. Inland traders
2. Importers
3. Exporters
4. Transporters (IV.v.b.2) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
If inland traders raise their prices higher than supply and demand will allow, they’ll discourage consumption beyond “thrift and good management.” People will go hungry and crops will rot. That's bad. (IV.v.b.3) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
If inland traders don’t raise prices high enough, people will overbuy, traders will lose profits, and the food will run out before the end of the season and people will go hungry. That's bad. (IV.v.b.3) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Careful attention to supply and demand and sensible pricing means that inland traders get the best profit and the people don’t starve. It's the #InvisibleHand at work. That's good! (IV.v.b.3) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
If it were possible to have a monopoly on corn, a merchant might destroy crops to raise prices. But it’s too hard to do this with corn—too many merchants, too much corn. (IV.v.b.4) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
You don’t get dearth and famine from inland merchants colluding over prices. You get dearth from war and bad weather. You get famine from government interference. (IV.v.b.5–6) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
When the government sets prices for corn, they either keep corn off the market ➡ early famine, OR encourage people to buy too much too soon ➡ end-of-season famine. People don't like it, but free trade is the only solution. (IV.v.b.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
When the govt interferes and famine results, everyone blames the corn merchants, not the government. They seem, to Smith, to be the most hated of all merchants in history. (IV.v.b.8–10) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
"Our ancestors seem to have imagined" they could save money by cutting out the middleman. We, the SmithTweeters, regret to fill you in about the prejudices of your descendants, Dr. Smith. (IV.v.b.11) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Middlemen have always seemed to consumers like they make money by doing nothing but increasing the cost of goods they buy before reselling them. (Just ask @mungowitz!) But what middlemen do is bring resources to where they are more valued. (IV.v.b.11) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Where resources are most valued might be another time or another place. Middlemen know they can make a profit by carrying corn to where it's needed or holding corn until it's needed, and then charging more because it's needed more. (IV.v.b.11–21)#WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
The prejudice against middlemen resulted in regulating agriculture very differently than manufacturing: Manufactures were forbidden to sell their wares directly. Farmers were required to. (IV.v.b.12–14) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
These regulations prevented not only the division of labor but the development of land. That makes corn more expensive, which was the opposite of what the laws intended! Oooooops. (IV.v.b.17) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Treating corn merchants like any other wholesale dealers would help ensure we use our land, our corn, our money, and our time better. We'd all be better off! (IV.v.b.18–21) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Adam Smith thinks George III gets some things wrong in the corn laws. American SmithTweeters agree! (IV.v.b.23–26) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
The corn laws are like laws against witchcraft. They’re irrational and they blame people for bad things that they are not causing. The rational thing is free trade. (IV.v.b.26) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
#AdamSmith discusses the mathematics of politics for three paragraphs. Then he says, “I have no great faith in political arithmetic. ”Moving on. (IV.v.b.27–30) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Importers of foreign corn increase supply and lower prices. That’s good! Corn farmers and merchants disagree for reasons Smith has been explaining for some time now, but high import duties lead to want and scarcity. (IV.v.b.32–35)#WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Counterintuitively, exporters help keep supplies up at home. Unless farmers are allowed to export, they’ll be too cautious about planting more than they can sell. Failed crops, etc. will lead to an undersupply. (IV.v.b.36)#WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
We’ve always been nicer to exporters than importers or inland merchants. Maybe because it’s fun to charge high prices to foreigners?(You should see our international SmithTweeting rates!) (IV.v.b.38) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
In case you're not sure, Smith still thinks free trade is the answer. Forbidding farmers from selling goods to the best market (home or overseas) is unjust as well as unproductive. (IV.v.b.39) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Why keep regulating? As with religion, we think our own interest is so great the government should push people around to protect it. We build bad laws and worse systems and do dumb things like persecuting "witches". (IV.v.b.40)# WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
[That’s some epic #SmithSnark. We bet #DavidHume drew little hearts in the margin by that paragraph.] (IV.v.b.40) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Merchants who import grain in order to export it somewhere else are basically banned in England. That's bad. A country that serves as a storehouse will never starve! (IV.v.b.41–42) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Another # TLDR: Stop praising the corn laws and start treating agriculture more like manufacturing. (IV.v.b.43–53) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
One more time. Corn Laws Bad. Free Trade Good! Good Digression. Good job, everyone. See you tomorrow! #WealthOfTweets # SmithTweets